Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 102069.473830 107532.925587 112988.711478 118842.050711 124940.419396 131103.130308 137797.863960
2025-08-03 92596.755456 100929.215489 109476.196229 118887.613714 128948.820395 139371.197508 150972.648239
2025-08-10 86031.685043 96341.370830 107142.836007 119280.950613 132518.109401 146492.923829 162338.765376
2025-08-17 80739.479163 92502.310615 105047.662090 119386.385047 135283.001090 152328.498239 171949.014689
2025-08-24 77228.705302 90248.172339 104348.899969 120701.161997 139085.964766 159060.396280 182344.710898
2025-08-31 73345.991140 87287.826506 102602.175589 120598.762271 141091.025632 163620.567499 190182.606092
2025-09-07 70991.599537 85878.279542 102438.068261 122128.730714 144803.168817 169992.877755 199986.998323
2025-09-14 68609.851525 84283.558578 101926.376181 123136.635442 147816.915356 175500.203826 208765.467999
2025-09-21 65967.452545 82245.173761 100776.993180 123290.861304 149748.699006 179697.196007 215994.781800
2025-09-28 63581.867916 80394.577149 99742.677836 123482.163493 151641.239990 183788.219478 223063.688288
2025-10-05 62362.527309 79866.856033 100208.231022 125390.265916 155511.151814 190160.871429 232797.351074
2025-10-12 61055.379304 79165.082079 100408.828805 126934.562705 158917.523786 195977.733214 241890.894666
2025-10-19 59443.405972 78050.222135 100086.497879 127841.496637 161577.351648 200954.996910 250071.613909
2025-10-26 57537.878286 76506.128285 99185.867791 127999.049400 163302.112705 204807.309392 256925.263019
2025-11-02 55895.989595 75229.323173 98558.273597 128441.901058 165336.267630 209010.291130 264200.049460
2025-11-09 54194.366997 73816.069465 97707.258532 128559.651768 166934.200067 212664.077907 270808.035394
2025-11-16 53208.623471 73274.336651 97908.949897 129957.517220 170090.740575 218206.727228 279726.142203
2025-11-23 51572.551420 71842.103366 96942.503121 129849.059847 171346.881075 221410.970458 285789.491761
2025-11-30 50819.826561 71526.050758 97365.626426 131474.058501 174756.420038 227263.377814 295126.328761
2025-12-07 49859.720643 70904.255293 97369.777528 132544.414369 177457.770283 232243.993485 303409.525025
2025-12-14 48549.040069 69778.787941 96689.913325 132708.189016 178991.024025 235764.764033 309889.169993
2025-12-21 47317.048578 68720.883136 96064.051848 132911.328647 180551.847615 239309.075979 316402.551476
2025-12-28 46910.971161 68755.207428 96850.641670 134937.304557 184444.076891 245790.623796 326625.235917